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One-month ahead prediction of wind speed and output power based on EMD and LSSVM | |
Wang, Xiaolan; Li, Hui | |
2009 | |
会议名称 | 2009 International Conference on Energy and Environment Technology, ICEET 2009 |
会议录名称 | 2009 International Conference on Energy and Environment Technology, ICEET 2009 |
卷号 | 3 |
页码 | 439-442 |
会议日期 | October 16, 2009 - October 18, 2009 |
会议地点 | Guilin, China |
出版者 | IEEE Computer Society |
摘要 | Wind speed is a kind of non-stationary time series, it is difficult to construct the model for accurate forecast. The way improving accuracy of the model for predicting wind speed up to one-month ahead has been investigated using measured data recorded by wind farm. A forecasting method based on empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM) is proposed in this paper. The non-stationary time series is decomposed into several intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and the trend term. The different LSSVM models to forecast each IMF are built up. These forecasting results of each IMF are combined to obtain the final forecasting result. Considering the power characteristics, unit efficiency and the operate condition of the generators, the one-month ahead forecasted output power of the wind power plant can be obtained. © 2009 IEEE. |
关键词 | Functions Least squares approximations Signal processing Support vector machines Time series Wind Wind power Empirical Mode Decomposition Forecasting methods Intrinsic Mode functions Least square support vector machines Non-stationary time series Power characteristic Unit efficiency Wind speed forecasting |
DOI | 10.1109/ICEET.2009.571 |
收录类别 | EI |
语种 | 英语 |
EI入藏号 | 20101212782708 |
EI主题词 | Forecasting |
来源库 | Compendex |
分类代码 | 443.1 Atmospheric Properties - 615.8 Wind Power (Before 1993, use code 611 ) - 716.1 Information Theory and Signal Processing - 723 Computer Software, Data Handling and Applications - 921 Mathematics - 921.6 Numerical Methods - 922.2 Mathematical Statistics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 会议论文 |
条目标识符 | https://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/116628 |
专题 | 电气工程与信息工程学院 |
作者单位 | School of Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Gansu, Lanzhou, 730050, China |
第一作者单位 | 兰州理工大学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wang, Xiaolan,Li, Hui. One-month ahead prediction of wind speed and output power based on EMD and LSSVM[C]:IEEE Computer Society,2009:439-442. |
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