Annual forecasting of wind speed and power in wind farm based on EMD

	Annual forecasting of wind speed and power in wind farm based on EMD
	Wang, Xiaolan; Li, Hui
	2011-03-01
发表期刊	Taiyangneng Xuebao/Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica
ISSN	02540096
卷号	32 期号:3 页码:301-306
摘要	In order to forecast monthly wind speed and wind power of the next year, the data of average wind speed per hour of the history can be used in this paper. The wind speed can be decomposed into several intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and trend term by empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method, different recursive least square (RLS) models to forecast each IMF and trend term are built up, these forecasting results of each IMF and trend term are combined to o btain the final forecasting results. The simulation experiment shown the average value of the MAPE is 16.25% about wind speed forecasting and the prediction accuracy is improved considerably. Considering power characteristic of wind power generator, unit efficiency and operating conditions, the output power of the wind farm can be obtained.
关键词	Electric power system interconnection Electric utilities Least squares approximations Position control Signal processing Speed Weather forecasting Wind power Empirical Mode Decomposition Intrinsic Mode functions Operating condition Power characteristic Recursive least square (RLS) Recursive least squares method Wind power forecasting Wind speed forecasting
收录类别	EI
语种	中文
出版者	Science Press
EI入藏号	20112013987635
EI主题词	Wind
EI分类号	443 Meteorology - 443.1 Atmospheric Properties - 615.8 Wind Power (Before 1993, use code 611 ) - 706.1 Electric Power Systems - 716.1 Information Theory and Signal Processing - 731.3 Specific Variables Control - 921.6 Numerical Methods
来源库	Compendex
分类代码	443 Meteorology - 443.1 Atmospheric Properties - 615.8 Wind Power (Before 1993, use code 611 ) - 706.1 Electric Power Systems - 716.1 Information Theory and Signal Processing - 731.3 Specific Variables Control - 921.6 Numerical Methods
文献类型	期刊论文
条目标识符	https://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/111240
专题	电气工程与信息工程学院
作者单位	College of Electrical Engineering and Information Engineering, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730050, China
第一作者单位	兰州理工大学
第一作者的第一单位	兰州理工大学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Wang, Xiaolan,Li, Hui. Annual forecasting of wind speed and power in wind farm based on EMD[J]. Taiyangneng Xuebao/Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,2011,32(3):301-306.
APA	Wang, Xiaolan,&Li, Hui.(2011).Annual forecasting of wind speed and power in wind farm based on EMD.Taiyangneng Xuebao/Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica,32(3),301-306.
MLA	Wang, Xiaolan,et al."Annual forecasting of wind speed and power in wind farm based on EMD".Taiyangneng Xuebao/Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica 32.3(2011):301-306.