Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model
Zhai, Guangyu1,2; Zhang, Kuan2; Chai, Guorong1
2021
发表期刊MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics
ISSN1556-5297
卷号18期号:1页码:21-31
摘要The study mainly analyzed the relationship between temperature and the upper respiratory tract infections (URI) in Lanzhou. We collected the daily URI and meteorological data from 2010 to 2015. A distributed lag non-linear model was used to examine the relationship and potential effects of different temperatures and different lag days on the morbidity of URI. The results showed that the morbidity of URI was significantly related to the meteorological factors, and the peak of the onset of the disease usually occurred between November and February the next year. The correlation analysis was carried out between meteorological factors and URI cases, and the result revealed that the daily morbidity of URI in Lanzhou was related to air temperature, air pressure, and wind speed. The exposure effect curve of average daily temperature to different sex and different age groups in Lanzhou displayed an M-shaped. Temperature had a certain lag effect on the daily morbidity of URI. For low temperature, it appeared on the present day, and the maximum impact appeared at lag 2 days and persisted for 12 days. The female was more vulnerable than the male, and the impact was obvious in teenagers and the elderly and not obvious in adult. Meteorological factors play an important role in the occurrence of URI in Lanzhou, but the main factor is low temperature. Temperature can trigger the morbidity of URI directly; it can induce various symptoms of URI (such as cold, sore throat and rhinitis) and directly affect the distribution of URI in the population. © This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
关键词Diseases Meteorology Wind Correlation analysis Daily temperatures Distributed lag models Impact of temperatures Meteorological data Meteorological factors Potential effects Upper respiratory tract
DOI10.32604/MCB.2021.014287
收录类别EI
语种英语
出版者Tech Science Press
EI入藏号20211110061361
EI主题词Atmospheric temperature
EI分类号443.1 Atmospheric Properties
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符https://ir.lut.edu.cn/handle/2XXMBERH/147763
专题经济管理学院
作者单位1.School of Management, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou; 730000, China;
2.School of Economics and Management, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou; 730050, China
第一作者单位经济管理学院
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Zhai, Guangyu,Zhang, Kuan,Chai, Guorong. Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model[J]. MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics,2021,18(1):21-31.
APA Zhai, Guangyu,Zhang, Kuan,&Chai, Guorong.(2021).Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model.MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics,18(1),21-31.
MLA Zhai, Guangyu,et al."Impact of temperature on upper respiratory tract infections in Lanzhou based on the distributed lag model".MCB Molecular and Cellular Biomechanics 18.1(2021):21-31.
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